Seismic activity in the southeastern Iberian Peninsula, where the tectonic plates of Europe and Africa converge, is common. Episodes like those currently affecting the province of Granada are normal in this area. However, precise prediction of these events remains an impossible task for current science.
"Really, we don't know what will happen next. We don't know if it will continue over time or if it will stop, because seismology still lacks the predictive capacity that meteorology offers," explains Nahúm Méndez, a geologist and science communicator.
According to Méndez, our territory can also experience similar episodes. "The Valencian Community, especially the south of the province of Alicante, is a moderate seismic risk zone," acknowledges the geologist.
Historically, 2029 will mark the 200th anniversary of the great earthquake that devastated Torrevieja and Almoradí. It is estimated that the 1829 earthquake reached a magnitude of 6.5, comparable to major recent earthquakes in other parts of the world. The key, experts emphasize, is to be prepared for the possibility of these natural phenomena.
